CHICAGO — The Cook County Republican Party claims that a new poll shows Judge Pat O’Brien is closing in on Democratic incumbent Kim Foxx in the race for Cook County State’s Attorney. The GOP is counting on the “50% incumbent rule,” that any voter who claims to be undecided towards the end of the election will probably end up voting for the challenger.
Cook County Republican Party Chairman Sean Morrison commissioned the polling firm Ogden and Fry to conduct the county-wide poll. The results of the poll shows O’Brien closing the gap over the last eight weeks, with Foxx’s numbers falling below 50 percent.
- 48.1% — Kim Foxx
- 33.8% — Pat O’Brien
- 18.1% — Undecided
The Ogden and Fry poll spoke with 447 likely voters on Sept. 5. The margin of error for the poll is +/- 3.77% at the 95-percent interval.
“What these poll numbers illustrate is that law-abiding residents from across Cook County have had enough of the rioting, looting, violent crime, murdered children and general lawlessness that has raged on across the city of Chicago and Cook County under the disastrous policies of Kim Foxx,” GOP Chairman Sean Morrison said in a news release.
For the first time since Republican Jack O’Malley clinched the Cook County State’s Attorney post in 1992, the Cook County GOP claims O’Brien is in a solid position to compete and potentially win.
The Cook County GOP asserts that it has seen a “tremendous increase in grassroots support” for O’Brien from democrat and independent voters, the vast majority of which cast their ballot for Foxx in 2016
“The poll shows that Judge O’Brien has a real opportunity to upset Chicago’s corrupt political machine led by Toni Preckwinkle and Kim Foxx,” Morrison said. “Voters are looking for a candidate that will help restore law and order and bring a renewed level of professional integrity to the office of State’s Attorney. Pat O’Brien is that candidate.”
The Cook County GOP is pinning it hopes on undecideds voting for the challenger, ever though the “50% incumbent rule” has been disputed as a myth in recent years by such pollsters as FiveThirtyEight.
With 52 percent of likely voters opposed to the re-election of Kim Foxx, the Cook County State’s Attorney’s race looks to be the one race to watch closely over the next 47 days, the GOP claimed.
“Even with the poling numbers she has right now, only 48 percent of active voters say they will support Foxx,” Morrison said.